An existential second for the Liberal celebration? One other feminine chief for Labor? On this episode of our election podcast Under the Line, our knowledgeable panel discuss us via what may occur to the main events if they don’t win authorities.
Led by award-winning broadcaster Jon Faine, the panel talks via the potential configurations of the following federal parliament, together with the attainable stability of energy in each chambers.
Polling knowledgeable Simon Jackman analyses the most recent voter surveys and tells us why a Labor victory nonetheless seems very seemingly at this stage. Anika Gauja maps the important thing contests within the Senate and the probability of minor events and independents holding decisive votes.
Andrea Carson scores the ultimate leaders’ debate and argues that Channel Seven’s format gave voters a greater take a look at coverage points than the earlier debate on Channel 9. Some 811,000 Australians tuned in to look at Wednesday evening’s occasion, however Faine wonders whether or not voters have heard sufficient in regards to the points they really care about.
“The controversy’s vary of subjects was nonetheless fairly slender,” says Carson. “I feel it was famous for what wasn’t debated quite than what was,” says Faine, who lists tax reform, industrial relations and Indigenous affairs as necessary however lacking coverage points.
The panel additionally contemplates the Liberal celebration’s future if key moderates lose their seats, and whether or not it’ll transfer additional to the precise. Gauja lists the seemingly names to guide Labor if Anthony Albanese suffers a shock defeat on Could 21.
Under the Line is dropped at you by The Dialog and La Trobe College. It’s produced by Courtney Carthy and Benjamin Clark.
Picture credit score: Lukas Coch/AAP; Mick Tsikas/AAP
Disclosure: Simon Jackman is an unpaid guide on polling knowledge for the Local weather 200 community of impartial candidates.